TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 1:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates the margin of victory in the AL Suqoor versus Al-Ittifaq match, focusing on whether AL Suqoor achieves a decisive win or Al-Ittifaq responds with a dominant performance. The outcome will reflect the teams' strategic approaches and execution under pressure.
Markets resolve to Yes if AL Suqoor wins by more than the specified goal differential (1.5 or 2.5 goals) or if Al-Ittifaq wins by more than the specified goal differential (1.5 or 2.5 goals) in the professional Saudi Pro League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded. The secondary rule states Kalshi has no official connection with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Frequently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. This market reflects the collective wisdom of traders, who may weigh information and factors differently than those setting lines at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while prediction markets generally have lower transaction costs. Therefore, discrepancies can arise, potentially indicating areas where the market believes the sportsbook's assessment is inaccurate or where there's significant uncertainty surrounding the Al Suqoor vs Al-Ittifaq match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Al Suqoor vs Al-Ittifaq match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The current price indicates what traders are collectively willing to pay for exposure to a specific result.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Al Suqoor vs Al-Ittifaq match as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the final spread. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Al Suqoor or Al-Ittifaq teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements regarding the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the relative strengths of the two teams has the potential to move this market.