TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between AL Suqoor and Abha. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, reflecting predictions about the match's offensive intensity. It focuses solely on regular time scoring, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout results.
The event evaluates multiple outcome thresholds for total goals scored in the AL Suqoor vs Abha Saudi Pro League match scheduled for October 24, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals from both teams exceed a specified half-goal increment (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5) during the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootout scenarios are explicitly excluded from all scoring considerations. The rules consistently apply across all markets, with Kalshi noting it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess the probability of outcomes. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly disagrees with the sportsbook's initial assessment. If a large number of traders believe a certain outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price on this market will adjust accordingly, potentially offering value for informed traders. It's important to compare both to get a comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential goal totals, and the price of each contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price moves based on supply and demand: if more people want to buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions as the event approaches. The goal is to reflect the true probability of the event happening.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the AL Suqoor versus Abha match will determine the final result. The official match statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will be used to determine the winning contract. Traders will be able to see the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the official results are available. It is important to note that the resolution is based on the final, official score.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either AL Suqoor or Abha would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to the teams’ coaching staff or internal issues could also shift the market. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create price fluctuations, especially if they signal a shift in overall market opinion regarding the expected goal total.