TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 11:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between AL Suqoor and Abha, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals each team scores during the standard 90-minute regulation time, including any added stoppage time, but not extra time or penalty kicks.
The event evaluates multiple possible outcomes of the AL Suqoor vs Abha Saudi Pro League soccer match scheduled for October 24, 2026, based on the goal differential during the 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time. Four distinct conditions are considered: AL Suqoor winning by more than 2.5 goals, AL Suqoor winning by more than 1.5 goals, Abha winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Abha winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each condition corresponds to a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the specified goal margin is met. The event exclusively uses regular time results—extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from all determinations. All markets operate independently, meaning satisfaction of one condition does not affect the resolution of others. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league governing body, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which may be influenced by factors like public perception or sharp action. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and ensure profitability, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or analytical approaches. If you find a significant difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it might signal an opportunity for informed traders to capitalize on perceived mispricings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of a specific outcome – in this case, the spread being positive or negative. As more traders buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price fluctuates based on supply and demand, driven by new information and evolving opinions about the AL Suqoor vs Abha match. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to accurately reflect the collective forecast of participants.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread of the AL Suqoor vs Abha match, as reported by official sources, will determine whether contracts predicting a positive or negative spread will pay out. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment. Resolution is based on the official result of the match, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either AL Suqoor or Abha would likely impact the perceived probabilities. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Any significant information that alters the expected outcome of the AL Suqoor vs Abha match has the potential to move this market considerably before Oct 24, 2026.