TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Al-Shamal vs Al Hilal: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Al-Shamal vs Al Hilal?

Volume:
$96,473

Al-Shamal wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Al-Shamal wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 4:16 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Al-Shamal wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$36,951
N/A
N/A
$20,370
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Al Hilal wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,437
N/A
N/A
$19,600
Settled
No
kalshi

Al-Shamal wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,602
N/A
N/A
$8,206
Settled
No
kalshi

Al Hilal wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,498
N/A
N/A
$12,759
Settled
No
kalshi

Al-Shamal wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$985
N/A
N/A
$866
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

These markets evaluate the margin of victory for either Al-Shamal or Al Hilal, focusing exclusively on the difference in goals scored during the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, without considering any additional playoff periods.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the goal differential in the Al-Shamal vs Al Hilal AFC Champions League match scheduled for Oct 27, 2026. Specific thresholds define winning margins: Al-Shamal must win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, while Al Hilal must win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Only goals scored during the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalty shootout results are disregarded entirely.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Al-Shamal vs Al Hilal match tracks the current price of contracts representing different outcomes for the spread. You can view the historical price movement of these contracts, allowing you to analyze how the market has reacted to news and information. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $91,454, and the total volume traded to date, which is $96,096. This provides insight into the level of interest and activity surrounding this particular market.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts who may have biases or limitations in their models. This market, however, allows a large number of participants to express their beliefs, leading to a more aggregate and potentially accurate forecast. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, providing opportunities for informed traders.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Al-Shamal vs Al Hilal match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of the likely spread in the match.

This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Al-Shamal vs Al Hilal match as officially recorded by sporting authorities. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment. The precise details of the spread will be verified against established sources of sports data.

Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 28, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Al-Shamal or Al Hilal would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about player availability or changes in coaching staff could also move the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a shift in sentiment and cause price fluctuations.