TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Al-Shabab and Al-Faisaly will be closely watched for its scoring intensity. Analysts predict a competitive game where both teams might struggle to find the back of the net, affecting various scoring thresholds.
Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified number of goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5) are surpassed in the Al-Shabab vs Al-Faisaly professional Saudi Pro League soccer game scheduled for Oct 19, 2026, counting only goals scored during the 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from all resolutions. The markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, and the outcome of one does not affect the others. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, aiming to profit regardless of the outcome. This market, however, represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the result. Therefore, discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in a particular outcome. It’s common to see this market offer odds that are more aligned with true probabilities than traditional betting markets, though differences can certainly occur.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Al-Shabab vs Al-Faisaly match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and provide a real-time forecast of the total goals scored in the game.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Al-Shabab vs Al-Faisaly match, as officially recorded by the league or governing body, will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the final score, including any goals scored during regular play or added time. Any potential overtime or penalty shootouts will not be considered for this market.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the prices in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Al-Shabab or Al-Faisaly would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts or unexpected lineup announcements could cause traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions, leading to price fluctuations.