TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 3:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in the Saudi Pro League. The result depends solely on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Al-Shabab vs Al-Faisaly professional Saudi Pro League soccer match originally scheduled for October 19, 2026. If Al-Shabab wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, its market resolves to Yes. If Al-Faisaly wins under the same conditions, its market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after the same duration, the Tie market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers the regular time result, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individuals. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of information becomes public or when there’s strong public sentiment surrounding the Al-Shabab vs Al-Faisaly match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of a 'yes' outcome. As more traders buy, the price goes up, indicating increased confidence in that outcome. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, and the market dynamically adjusts as new information emerges. This mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive valuation of the potential result of the Al-Shabab vs Al-Faisaly match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Al-Shabab or Al-Faisaly could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match interviews with key players could also introduce volatility. Major upsets in related matches or shifts in public perception, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also move the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements.