TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 2:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Qatar Stars League between two teams. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard playing time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. The event covers all possible outcomes of the match, including a win for either team or a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Al-Sailiya vs Al Rayyan professional Qatar Stars League soccer game scheduled for October 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Al-Sailiya, a win for Al Rayyan, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following the platform's guidelines. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regular time.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the 'wisdom of the crowd'. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can trade against it on Kalshi, driving the prediction market odds closer to their collective assessment. This can sometimes lead to prediction markets being more accurate than sportsbooks, especially when there’s strong public sentiment or inside information not yet reflected in traditional odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential results of the Al-Sailiya vs Al Rayyan match. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing opinions.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Al-Sailiya vs Al Rayyan match as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will receive nothing. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly, ensuring a transparent and reliable resolution process.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 23, 2026. Unexpected news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or even weather conditions could all shift trader sentiment. Major tactical announcements from either team's coach, or even perceived shifts in team morale based on media reports, could also influence trading activity. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely be reflected in the market prices, leading to increased volume and price fluctuations. Keep an eye on sports news and analysis for potential catalysts.