TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 2:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a football match between two teams in a prestigious continental competition. The outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score during the regular 90 minutes plus any additional stoppage time. The focus is solely on the scoring within this standard match duration, excluding any extra time or penalty phases.
If Al Sadd and Al Hilal both score a goal in the Al Sadd vs Al Hilal AFC Champions League match originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome, leading to potentially more efficient pricing. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, information access, or simply the dynamics of each market. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing a 'Yes' or 'No' outcome to the question of whether both Al Sadd and Al Hilal will score. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe both teams will score, the price of the 'Yes' contract increases, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the collective probability assessment of all participants. The current price indicates the market's implied probability of the event occurring.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Al Sadd and Al Hilal score at least one goal during the scheduled match time, including any added injury or stoppage time. Any goals scored during a penalty shootout will not count towards resolution. The result will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources, ensuring a transparent and accurate settlement.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Al Sadd or Al Hilal would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical approaches, or even weather conditions could also shift the market. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause movement. Furthermore, any significant public sentiment shifts, perhaps driven by expert analysis or fan discussions, could influence trading activity and alter the price of this market.