TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 12:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Qatar Stars League between Al Sadd and AL Duhail. The result will be determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. The event specifically excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Al Sadd vs AL Duhail professional Qatar Stars League soccer match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome resolves for the specific team market if that team wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends in a tie after the same regulation time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootout results from resolving any market outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market’s odds are driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can express that view by trading contracts, causing the odds to move. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths and weaknesses.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular result, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. This creates a real-time assessment of the potential results of the Al Sadd vs AL Duhail match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Al Sadd vs AL Duhail match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the final score and determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants in this market. Traders will be able to see the confirmed outcome and receive payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could significantly shift the odds. Furthermore, performance in recent matches, tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, and even public sentiment expressed through sports media could all play a role. Major upsets in other related matches or shifts in betting patterns at sportsbooks might also cause traders to re-evaluate their positions, leading to price movements in this market.