TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 4:13 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming professional soccer match between Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Pakhtakor. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of various scoring outcomes based on their expectations of the match's intensity and attacking nature.
The markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored during the official 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. For each market, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if the cumulative goals exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). All markets are independent assessments of the match's scoring volume, with each threshold representing a progressively higher bar for goal accumulation. The governing body's official match result, including any post-regulation periods, determines resolution, though only regular-time goals count toward these outcomes. Kalshi disclaims any formal association with the league or its intellectual property.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likelihood of different outcomes. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, the price in this market will move accordingly, potentially offering a different implied probability than traditional betting options. This difference can be a valuable signal for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total goals scored in the Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor match will be over or under a certain number. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated predictions of all participants trading on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total number of goals scored in the Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor match will be used to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contract wins. The resolution will be based on official match statistics, ensuring a clear and objective determination of the result. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Al Quwa Al Jawiya or Pakhtakor would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play or scoring opportunities, could also affect trading activity. Additionally, any late-breaking news about team tactics or formations, or even public sentiment shifts based on expert analysis, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market before Oct 26, 2026.