TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 4:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various margin-based outcomes for an upcoming professional soccer match in the AFC Champions League. It focuses on the potential differences in scoring between the two competing teams at the end of regular time. The resolution depends on how many goals separate the winning and losing sides.
The event covers four distinct outcome scenarios for the Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor professional AFC Champions League soccer match scheduled for October 26, 2026. All resolutions are determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. If Al Quwa Al Jawiya wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves to Yes. If Al Quwa Al Jawiya wins by more than 1.5 goals (but not exceeding 2.5), the second market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Pakhtakor wins by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves to Yes, and if Pakhtakor wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves to Yes. Each market operates independently, and only the specific condition corresponding to each rule triggers a Yes resolution for that market. The rules explicitly state that Kalsci is not officially affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd effect. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective predictions of many individuals. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price here will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of information becomes public or when there’s strong public sentiment about a particular outcome. Examining these differences can highlight potential value opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the spread in the Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price indicates the market’s expectation, and traders aim to profit by correctly anticipating the final result.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Pakhtakor match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will settle to 100 if the spread is as predicted, and adjust accordingly based on the actual margin of victory or defeat. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those betting on the incorrect spread will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Al Quwa Al Jawiya or Pakhtakor would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also play a role. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the game's outcome is crucial for informed trading in this market.