TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 4:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between two teams. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Al Ain in their AFC Champions League match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored within the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, explicitly excluding goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market has a distinct threshold, ranging from more than 0.5 goals up to more than 5.5 goals, with resolution to "Yes" if the actual total exceeds that threshold. The governing body’s official match record determines the result, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of associated trademarks and branding.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines based on their models and risk management, while this market allows traders to express their own independent assessments of the likely total goals scored. If there's a significant discrepancy, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded view, but this market provides a unique perspective based on collective intelligence.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. The market depth—the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels—shows how much conviction traders have in their predictions. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market is constantly updating its forecast based on the latest information and trader activity.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Ain match will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring an accurate and transparent outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the market's settlement. The platform will then distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the total goals scored.
Several factors could influence this market leading up to and during the match. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Al Quwa Al Jawiya or Al Ain would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the game's scoring potential, could also impact trading activity. Even pre-game analysis from sports commentators or updated team lineups could shift trader sentiment and alter the prices. Finally, early goals scored during the match itself will have an immediate and substantial effect on this market.