TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 4:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the margin of victory in an upcoming professional soccer match between Al Quwa Al Jawiya and Al Ain. Each market corresponds to a specific goal differential threshold that determines the outcome. The resolution depends solely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential of the Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Ain professional AFC Champions League soccer match scheduled for October 12, 2026. All outcomes are determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration given to extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' resolution occurs when the winning team achieves a victory exceeding the specified goal margin outlined in each individual market—either more than 1.5 or more than 2.5 goals. The markets are independent assessments of varying victory margins and are not affiliated with or endorsed by the governing league; all trademarks and branding belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many participants. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct forecasting approach.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Ain match. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Al Ain match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by recognized sports data providers, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome for this market. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the event concludes.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market leading up to Oct 13, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Al Quwa Al Jawiya or Al Ain could significantly impact predictions. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift expectations. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants or unexpected public sentiment could cause noticeable price fluctuations in this market, reflecting evolving beliefs about the likely spread.