TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 11:18 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate whether Al Qadsiah or Abha achieves a victory with a specified goal-difference margin within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time, again excluding extra time or penalties.
All markets resolve based on the outcome of the Al Qadsiah vs Abha professional Saudi Pro League soccer game scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Resolution depends on whether Al Qadsiah wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or whether Abha wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Each market has a different threshold for the winning margin required for resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, the prediction market may move in the opposite direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded on Kalshi. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the Al Qadsiah vs Abha match spread. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, creating a real-time assessment of the potential result. This allows for a fluid and responsive pricing mechanism.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Al Qadsiah vs Abha match, specifically the actual spread achieved, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The platform will verify the result against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Al Qadsiah or Abha would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the coaches, or even weather conditions on match day could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts might also play a role. Significant betting activity, even outside of Kalshi, could also influence the price as traders react to broader market signals.