TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$185,665,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,833,875,329
407,365
Markets across
40,470
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,365
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 1:27 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether over 3.5 goals will be scored in the Al Nassr versus Neftchi professional AFC Champions League soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 3.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. The market will resolve based on whether the total goals scored in 90 minutes plus stoppage time exceeds this threshold, as determined by the official game result. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve following the conclusion of the game originally scheduled for October 12, 2026, with final resolution expected by October 13, 2026.
The event evaluates multiple outcome thresholds for total goals scored in the Al Nassr vs Neftchi AFC Champions League match scheduled for October 12, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals exceed a specific half-goal increment (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is assessed separately. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. The resolution focuses solely on regular-time scoring, with no adjustments for post-match proceedings.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately forecast the actual outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of prediction markets versus fixed sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic and real-time indication of expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity influence how quickly and significantly prices respond to new information or changes in sentiment regarding the Al Nassr vs Neftchi match.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally of the Al Nassr vs Neftchi match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match result, as reported by recognized sports data providers. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals scored will be paid out according to the market's pricing at the time of resolution. The final score will be the definitive factor in determining the winning contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Al Nassr or Neftchi would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the playing style or scoring opportunities, could also affect trading activity. Additionally, pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts, or even shifts in public sentiment, can contribute to price fluctuations as traders adjust their positions based on new information.