TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 2:15 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the AFC Champions League. The contest involves two teams competing to determine the winner based on the final score after the regulation period, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. The result reflects either a clear victory for one of the teams or a draw at the end of normal time.
The event resolves based on the result of the Al Nassr vs Al Wasl professional AFC Champions League soccer match scheduled for October 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Al Nassr wins the match within regulation time, the 'Al Nassr' market resolves to Yes. If Al Wasl wins within regulation time, the 'Al Wasl' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. The event explicitly excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result after the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of the likely outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying opinions among participants. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly as new information emerges, potentially offering value compared to fixed sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. Traders are incentivized to set prices accurately, as they profit from correctly predicting the event's result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price movements are driven by the collective intelligence of those trading on Kalshi, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the match’s potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Al Nassr vs Al Wasl match, as reported by recognized sports authorities. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning contract and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand how this market will settle.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Al Nassr or Al Wasl would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions leading up to the match could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or coaching changes could also move the market, as traders react to new information and reassess the probabilities of different outcomes.