TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$245,801,863

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,902,097,102

417,059

Markets across

40,178

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,415

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Al Nassr vs Al Kholood?

Volume:
$1,868,559

Al Nassr

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 29, 3:56 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Al Nassr

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$830,079
N/A
N/A
$435,924
Settled
Yes
predict

NSR

100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$14,409
$134,598
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Al Nassr Saudi Club

100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$73,106
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Al-Kholood

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$487,007
N/A
N/A
$344,084
Settled
No
polymarket

Al Kholood Saudi Club

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,716
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

KHO

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$90
$18,736
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$262,201
N/A
N/A
$156,316
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Kholood Saudi Club)

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,398
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$73
$8,718
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Saudi Professional League soccer match between Al Nassr Saudi Club and Al Kholood Saudi Club, scheduled for October 29, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Al Nassr Saudi Club winning is 99.0%, while Al Kholood Saudi Club winning is estimated at 1.0%. This prediction aggregates data from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket, and will resolve based on official match statistics, with potential fallbacks to Flashscore or Sofascore as defined by the resolution source. Keep an eye on the official schedule confirmation as the October 29, 2026 date approaches to ensure the match proceeds as planned.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Differing cancellation handling and source preference between platforms create a minor divergence in potential resolution outcomes.Hero tip: Be mindful of the cancellation rules on Polymarket, which differ from Kalshi. If you anticipate a cancellation, Polymarket's markets may offer a more predictable outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on official stats (with fallbacks) and explicitly states a canceled game resolves 'No' for win/loss markets and 'Yes' for the draw market. "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 'No'."
  • Kalshi: Focuses solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit mention of cancellation handling. "If Tie is the result...then the market resolves to Yes."
  • Predict: Mirrors Polymarket's resolution source and cancellation handling. "If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 'No'."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for Thursday, October 29, 2026 between Al Nassr Saudi Club and Al Kholood Saudi Club.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Al Nassr vs Al-Kholood professional Saudi Pro League soccer game scheduled for Oct 29, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If Al Nassr wins, the 'Al Nassr' market resolves to Yes. If Al-Kholood wins, the 'Al-Kholood' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for Thursday, October 29, 2026 between Al Nassr Saudi Club and Al Kholood Saudi Club.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ that can differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and internal analysis, while prediction markets allow individuals to trade on their own beliefs, creating a dynamic and potentially more accurate assessment. This market, for example, may show a different probability for a particular outcome than a traditional sportsbook. Discrepancies can arise from differing information access, biases, or simply the collective intelligence expressed through trading volume.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi for the Al Nassr vs. Al Kholood match can diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and fee structures, all of which influence price discovery. Furthermore, differing levels of liquidity on each platform can lead to price discrepancies. Even with the same underlying question, the composition of traders and their individual perspectives contribute to variations in the assessed probabilities. These differences are normal and reflect the independent price-setting mechanisms of each venue.