TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 1:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a football match between two teams in a professional league. The outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during regular time, which includes any added stoppage time but excludes extra time or penalty kicks. The focus is on the performance of the teams within the standard match duration.
If Al-Kholood and Al-Ittifaq both score a goal in the Al-Kholood vs Al-Ittifaq Saudi Pro League match originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Examining these differences can be insightful, as prediction markets can sometimes anticipate outcomes that sportsbooks miss, or vice versa.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both teams scoring. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the event occurring. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived likelihood of both teams scoring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order flow provide insights into the strength of conviction behind different viewpoints, and traders can adjust their positions based on this information.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Al-Kholood and Al-Ittifaq score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from a recognized sporting authority will be used to determine if both teams have scored. The final scoreline will be the determining factor, and any potential disputes will be addressed based on the official record of the game.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Al-Kholood or Al-Ittifaq would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced by the managers could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis highlighting a team's improved attacking form, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market. Any significant information impacting the perceived goal-scoring potential of either side is likely to be reflected in the trading activity.