TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 3:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Al Ain will win the Al-Ittihad vs Al Ain professional AFC Champions League soccer game after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, Kalshi gives Al Ain a 90.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 9.0%. The market resolves based on the result reported by the official outcome of the match as defined in the resolution source. Traders should watch for the kickoff of the match on November 2, 2026, as that marks the beginning of the event window for resolution.
The event determines the winner of the Al-Ittihad vs Al Ain professional AFC Champions League soccer match scheduled for November 2, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Al-Ittihad, a win for Al Ain, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves positively. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution strictly adheres to the result within regular time, with no consideration given to post-regulation proceedings.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like team news or public perception, while this market aggregates the beliefs of a diverse group of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamics of supply and demand within the prediction market. Examining these differences can reveal potential value or insights into which side is undervalued by either the market or the bookmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the event approaches. The goal is for the contract prices to converge towards the true probability of each outcome.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Al-Ittihad vs Al Ain match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution. It's important to monitor news and updates leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any factors that could influence the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in team formations, or unexpected coaching decisions would likely impact trading activity. Major upsets in other matches involving these teams could also shift perceptions of their relative strength. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by media coverage or social media trends, could influence the market. Monitoring these factors closely will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.