TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 3:28 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Al Ittihad Saudi Club and Al Diraiyah Saudi Club. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
In the upcoming match between Al Ittihad Saudi Club and Al Diraiyah Saudi Club, scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Al Ittihad Saudi Club" if Al Ittihad Saudi Club are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Al Diraiyah Saudi Club" if Al Diraiyah Saudi Club are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Al Ittihad Saudi Club and Al Diraiyah Saudi Club, scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 11:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Al Ittihad Saudi Club" if Al Ittihad Saudi Club are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Al Diraiyah Saudi Club" if Al Diraiyah Saudi Club are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to profit by setting lines that attract balanced betting, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially offering more accurate probabilities, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbook odds benefit from established models and risk management techniques. The current volume of $34 suggests growing interest in this market.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict can arise from several factors, including differing user bases, trading fees, and market-specific liquidity. Each platform attracts a unique set of traders with varying levels of expertise and risk tolerance, influencing their assessment of the probability of either team scoring first in the Al Ittihad vs. Al Diraiyah match. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – currently $34 – can impact price discovery and create temporary imbalances. These differences highlight the value of aggregating data across multiple prediction markets.