TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 12:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams in the Saudi Pro League. The result is determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. The market offers three possible outcomes based on which team wins or if the game ends in a draw.
The market resolves based on the official result of the Al-Ittifaq vs Al-Khaleej professional Saudi Pro League soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome resolves for the specific market corresponding to the winning team—or a tie market if the game ends level. If the match is cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours, the market will resolve at a fair price, ensuring transparency and equitable treatment for all participants. The markets cover three distinct outcomes: Al-Ittifaq win, Al-Khaleej win, or a tied result.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to express their independent beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing a team’s chances, the odds here will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks, especially as more information becomes available and the event draws closer. Discrepancies can highlight interesting opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices converge towards what the market believes is the fair value. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth, indicated by the bid and ask sizes, shows how much volume is available at different price points, influencing how easily orders can be filled. Trading volume and open interest are key indicators of market activity.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Saudi Pro League match between Al-Ittifaq and Al-Khaleej. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability, particularly key players for either Al-Ittifaq or Al-Khaleej, would likely cause significant price movement. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in sports news and analysis, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking information about team strategies or formations might lead to adjustments in the odds.