TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Over 1.5 goals scored
- Kalshi
Over 1.5 goals scored - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 01d:00h:08m
$
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Al Hilal and Shabab Al-Ahli. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, reflecting expectations about the match's offensive intensity.
All markets resolve based solely on the total goals scored during the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the aggregate goals meet or exceed the specified threshold for each market (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). The match must be the professional AFC Champions League game originally scheduled for November 3, 2026. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts who may have biases or limitations in their models. This market, however, aggregates the opinions of many individual traders, leading to a potentially more accurate forecast. It’s common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts regarding the Al Hilal vs Shabab Al-Ahli match and the expected goal total.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether over or under a certain number of goals will be scored. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe over 3.5 goals will be scored, the price of 'yes' contracts increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in the Al Hilal vs Shabab Al-Ahli match will be the determining factor. If more than 3.5 goals are scored, the 'yes' contracts will pay out. If 3.5 or fewer goals are scored, the 'no' contracts will pay out. The final result will be sourced from official match data and widely available sports news outlets.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Al Hilal or Shabab Al-Ahli would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also impact the expected goal total. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis suggesting a change in tactical approach from either team, or updates on team form, could shift trader sentiment and therefore the price of contracts in this market.