TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Al Hilal wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Kalshi
Al Hilal wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 16h:51m:33s
$
This event focuses on the margin of victory in the same Al Hilal versus Shabab Al-Ahli match. Different markets cover varying win margins for each team, indicating predictions about potential dominance by either side.
Markets resolve based on the goal differential if either team wins the professional AFC Champions League match originally scheduled for November 3, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for Al Hilal requires winning by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, while a 'Yes' for Shabab Al-Ahli requires winning by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, depending on the market. Drawn matches or wins within the specified margins result in 'No'. Kalshi emphasizes no official league affiliation, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small group of experts, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of volume is traded. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the teams’ strengths. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of the spread. As more traders participate, the price of these contracts fluctuates, reflecting the collective prediction. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price represents the probability of a particular outcome being true, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood. The market dynamically adjusts as new information emerges and traders update their assessments of the Al Hilal vs Shabab Al-Ahli match.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Al Hilal vs Shabab Al-Ahli match as officially recorded by sporting authorities. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual result. It’s important to monitor external sources as the event approaches to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Al Hilal or Shabab Al-Ahli would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or coaching changes could also cause movement. Monitoring sports news and analysis leading up to the match is crucial for understanding potential catalysts that could affect this market.