TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Al Hilal
- Kalshi
Al Hilal - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 3, 2026
Time left: 22h:09m:17s
$
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between two teams competing in an international tournament. Bettors can speculate on which team will win or if the game will end in a draw within the standard playing time. The resolution depends solely on the result after the allocated 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding any extended periods like extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event determines the winner of a professional AFC Champions League soccer match scheduled for November 3, 2026, between Al Hilal and Shabab Al-Ahli, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Al Hilal secures a victory within this timeframe, the 'Al Hilal' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, a win by Shabab Al-Ahli within the same period results in the 'Shabab Al-Ahli' market resolving to Yes. Should the game conclude in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The outcome does not consider results from extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective forecast of informed traders. Frequently, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional betting odds, especially when considering the incentive for traders to be correct. However, sportsbook odds can still provide a useful benchmark for comparison, offering another perspective on the likely result of the Al Hilal vs Shabab Al-Ahli match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of traders about the probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders believe an outcome is likely, the price of its corresponding contract will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly. The current volume traded is $6,453.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will reflect the official result of the Al Hilal vs Shabab Al-Ahli match, as determined by the governing sports authority. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and whether their predictions were accurate once the event concludes and the results are officially announced. Keep an eye on the dashboard as the resolution date approaches for updates.
Several factors could influence this market before the Al Hilal vs Shabab Al-Ahli match takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Furthermore, updates on weather conditions or pitch quality, if relevant, might also impact the perceived probabilities. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in analyst predictions or media coverage, could also contribute to movement in this market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations.