TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various margin-based outcomes for an upcoming professional soccer match between Al Hilal and Al-Fateh. The focus is on determining whether each team wins by a specific goal differential threshold. Resolutions depend solely on the final score after regular time, excluding extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates multiple distinct winning margin scenarios for the Al Hilal vs Al-Fateh Saudi Pro League match scheduled for October 31, 2026. All markets resolve based exclusively on the score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty kicks are irrelevant. Four separate outcome thresholds are considered: Al Hilal winning by more than 2.5 goals, Al Hilal winning by more than 1.5 goals, Al-Fateh winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Al-Fateh winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each market operates independently, meaning a single match result could satisfy multiple conditions simultaneously. The governing body is the Saudi Pro League, though Kalski explicitly states no official affiliation with it. All trademarks and branding belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates real-time information and the aggregated predictions of many individuals. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions on team form, injuries, or other factors influencing the game's outcome. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly to news and insights that haven't yet fully impacted sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Al Hilal vs Al-Fateh match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will settle based on whether Al Hilal wins by more or less than the specified spread, or if Al-Fateh wins. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Nov 1, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Al Hilal or Al-Fateh would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements related to team management or internal issues could also contribute to price fluctuations. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in betting trends or expert analysis, can also play a role in shaping the market.