TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 6:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Al Hilal Saudi Club and Al Hazem SC. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
In the upcoming match between Al Hilal Saudi Club and Al Hazem SC, scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Al Hilal Saudi Club" if Al Hilal Saudi Club are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Al Hazem SC" if Al Hazem SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Al Hilal Saudi Club and Al Hazem SC, scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Al Hilal Saudi Club" if Al Hilal Saudi Club are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Al Hazem SC" if Al Hazem SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect a more nuanced and aggregated view than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their own risk, while prediction markets represent the collective beliefs of many individuals incentivized to be accurate. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially when significant public information isn't fully priced into sportsbook lines. However, both aim to predict the same outcome, and arbitrage opportunities can sometimes emerge between them, allowing savvy traders to profit from discrepancies.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Al Hilal vs. Al Hazem first-to-score market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and risk assessments, leading to differing opinions on the probability of each outcome. Furthermore, trading volume can vary significantly between Polymarket and Predict, impacting price discovery. Differences in platform fees or liquidity can also contribute to price discrepancies. While both platforms address the same question, these factors can create variations in the perceived value of each possible outcome in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Al Hilal or Al Hazem would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also shift expectations. Even broader factors, such as weather conditions or referee assignments, could subtly impact trader sentiment. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring first has the potential to move this market.