TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 11:56 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Saudi Pro League between two teams. The result depends solely on who wins the match within the regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. If the match ends with both teams scoring the same number of goals during regulation time, it is considered a tie.
The event covers three possible outcomes for the Al-Hazm vs AL Suqoor professional Saudi Pro League soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026: a win for Al-Hazm, a win for AL Suqoor, or a tie. Each market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty kicks. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Additionally, if the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who have skin in the game. If there’s a significant discrepancy between the two, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price and decreases the probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Al-Hazm vs AL Suqoor match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The final result will be determined by the official score at the conclusion of the match.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or shifts in player form could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions, or even pre-match analysis from respected sports commentators, could also cause the market to move. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations, leading to price adjustments in this market.