TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 11:41 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate performance margins in the same match, focusing on whether Al-Hazm or Al-Fayha achieves a victory by a margin exceeding a set number of goals. The result hinges solely on the goal difference within regular time.
Markets resolve based on whether Al-Hazm or Al-Fayha wins the match by more than a specified goal margin (1.5 or 2.5 goals) after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for Al-Hazm requires a win by more than 2.5 goals, or by more than 1.5 goals, while a 'Yes' for Al-Fayha requires a win by more than 1.5 goals, or by more than 2.5 goals, each according to their respective markets. Kalshi emphasizes no official connection with the league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows a broader range of participants to express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely result of the Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha match, or that one venue has incorporated information the other hasn't. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha match. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market price is always a current estimate of the event’s potential results, driven by supply and demand.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha match as officially recorded by sports data providers. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout of $1 per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will receive $0. The market’s resolution is determined by objective data, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 22, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or tactical changes for either Al-Hazm or Al-Fayha could cause significant shifts in the market. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, potentially driving price movements. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding how the market evolves as the event approaches.