TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 22, 11:41 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Al-Fayha will win the Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha professional Saudi Pro League soccer game. Currently, Kalshi gives Al-Fayha a 72.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 24.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the game as reported by the official result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as defined by the resolution source. Keep a close watch on the game itself, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as the final whistle will determine the market’s resolution.
The event resolves based on the result of the Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha professional Saudi Pro League soccer game scheduled for October 22, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away from the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price as per the rules. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can take the opposite position, driving the prediction market odds in a different direction. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, particularly when there's disagreement among experts or access to unique information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and perspectives. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market clears at the best available prices. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information available to participants.
This market resolves around Oct 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome – a win for Al-Hazm, a win for Al-Fayha, or a draw – actually occurred during the match. The final price of the winning contract will reflect the probability assigned to that outcome by the market at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 22, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or changes in the match venue might also play a role. Furthermore, performance in preceding matches, tactical adjustments, and even public sentiment can all contribute to price movements. Major upsets in other related matches or broader trends in soccer league standings could also indirectly affect trading activity in this market.