TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 1:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the margin of victory in the Al-Hazm versus Al-Fateh game. Analysts will be analyzing both teams' attacking strength and defensive vulnerabilities to predict if one side can dominate by a significant margin.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential if Al-Hazm or Al-Fateh wins the professional Saudi Pro League soccer match originally scheduled for October 15, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for the Al-Hazm markets occurs if Al-Hazm wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, as specified. Conversely, a 'Yes' outcome for the Al-Fateh markets occurs if Al-Fateh wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, as specified. Each market evaluates a different margin of victory, with thresholds indicating varying degrees of dominance required for resolution.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small number of experts, while this market aggregates opinions from many individuals. It’s common to see initial differences, but as the event approaches, the prediction market price tends to converge with sportsbook odds, incorporating information from both sources. However, discrepancies can still arise due to differing risk assessments and market dynamics.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh match. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, reflecting the evolving expectations of the crowd. The current price represents the market’s best estimate of the actual spread at the conclusion of the match.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body. Any adjustments or official revisions to the result will be reflected in the final settlement of this market. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the outcome has been verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Al-Hazm or Al-Fateh would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news or events related to the teams or the league could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market, as traders react to new information.