TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 1:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh professional Saudi Pro League soccer game will end in a tie after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, Kalshi gives an 82.0% probability to a tie, with Al-Hazm winning at 8.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the game as reported by the resolution source. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on October 15, 2026, as that will begin the 90-minute window determining the outcome of this market.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh Saudi Pro League match scheduled for October 15, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if either Al-Hazm or Al-Fateh wins during regulation time. If the match ends in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price, reflecting the likelihood of each outcome under the revised circumstances. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution, as only results within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time count.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their own information and analysis. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, access to information, or simply the dynamics of market participation. It's common to see this market adjust more rapidly to new information than sportsbook odds, as it incorporates a wider range of perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders submit bids (the price they are willing to buy) and asks (the price they are willing to sell) for contracts representing the possible outcomes of the Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh match. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price reflects the point where there are matching bids and asks, indicating the collective probability assigned to each outcome. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view, influenced by new information and changing sentiment. The current volume is $588,289.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The market will determine which outcome—a win for Al-Hazm, a win for Al-Fateh, or a draw—is the accurate result. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 15, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in player form could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from sports commentators could also play a role. Furthermore, large volume trades by informed participants can quickly move the market, reflecting new information or a change in overall expectations for the Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh match. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into potential market movements.