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Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal?

Volume:
$9,564

Esteghlal wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Esteghlal wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 4:20 PM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Esteghlal wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,925
N/A
N/A
$3,667
Settled
No
kalshi

Al Gharafa wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,902
N/A
N/A
$1,273
Settled
No
kalshi

Esteghlal wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,334
N/A
N/A
$1,164
Settled
No
kalshi

Al Gharafa wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$403
N/A
N/A
$403
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks various margin-based outcomes for an upcoming professional soccer match between Al Gharafa and Esteghlal. It focuses on the difference in goals scored by the teams within normal game time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. The resolution depends on the size of the winning margin for either team.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple potential goal-difference thresholds for the Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal AFC Champions League match scheduled for October 12, 2026. All outcomes are determined solely by the result after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct criteria define resolution: Al Gharafa must win by more than 2.5 goals, Al Gharafa must win by more than 1.5 goals, Esteghlal must win by more than 1.5 goals, or Esteghlal must win by more than 2.5 goals. The market resolves to 'Yes' for the specific rule that matches the actual result. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time as traders buy and sell contracts. Currently, the total volume for this market is $9,564, with $9,191 traded in the last 24 hours. The dashboard provides a visual representation of market activity, allowing you to monitor the flow of information and sentiment surrounding the match's spread.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the opinions of individuals incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, particularly before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can be insightful, as both sources represent informed estimates of the likely result of the Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal match.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the spread in the Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts predicting a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date information and collective intelligence of participants.

This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal match as officially recorded by sports data providers. The market will determine which side, if any, correctly predicted the final spread, and contracts will be settled accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their stake.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market leading up to Oct 12, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could shift expectations and impact the price of contracts. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match commentary from analysts could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and drive price movements, reflecting changing sentiment about the Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal match.