TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 3:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This event concerns the AFC Champions League fixture between Al Gharafa and Al Qadsiah set for November 2, 2026, focusing on whether each team scores at least one goal during the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The result depends entirely on the attacking efficiency of both sides before any potential extra time or penalty phases.
If Al Gharafa and Al Qadsiah both score a goal in the Al Gharafa vs Al Qadsiah AFC Champions League match originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals expressing their beliefs through trading. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can influence the price on Kalshi, potentially creating a discrepancy. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate information not immediately reflected in traditional odds, such as team morale or late-breaking news.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both Al Gharafa and Al Qadsiah will score in the match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts (BTTS will happen), the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the evolving expectations of the crowd, making it a real-time assessment of the likelihood of both teams finding the net.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Al Gharafa and Al Qadsiah score at least one goal each during the match. The official result of the match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will determine whether the 'yes' or 'no' outcome is declared the winner. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout of 100 minus the commission paid when they purchased the contract.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Al Gharafa or Al Qadsiah would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or coaching changes could also cause movement. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information entering the market and affect the odds.