TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 6:27 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming AFC Champions League Elite game between Al Gharafa SC and Esteghlal FC Tehran, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Al Gharafa SC vs. Esteghlal FC Tehran match originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming AFC Champions League Elite game between Al Gharafa SC and Esteghlal FC Tehran, scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Al Gharafa SC vs. Esteghlal FC Tehran match originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell shares representing their belief in each exact score outcome. The price of each share reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market’s efficiency is driven by the incentive for traders to accurately predict the outcome, as profitable predictions result in financial gains.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Al Gharafa SC vs. Esteghlal FC Tehran match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football authority, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the confirmed result.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions would likely have an impact. Furthermore, updates on weather conditions at the match venue, or even pre-game analysis from reputable sports commentators, could sway trader sentiment. The performance of both teams in their preceding matches, and any tactical adjustments they might make, are also likely to be considered by those trading in this market. Any significant shifts in public opinion could also play a role.