TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Al Gharafa SC vs. Esteghlal FC Tehran
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Al Gharafa SC vs. Esteghlal FC Tehran?

Volume:
$36,772

Esteghlal FC Tehran

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 12, 2026

Closed: Oct 12, 6:27 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Esteghlal FC Tehran

View
100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,033
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

EST

99%
57%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$28,768
$12,392
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

8%
16%
Yes 8¢No 92¢
—
$5,659
$2,749
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Al Gharafa SC vs. Esteghlal FC Tehran)

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,955
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

ALG

1%
33%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$5,723
$2,686
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Al Gharafa SC

0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,957
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group covers markets on the outcome of a soccer (football) match between Al Gharafa SC and Esteghlal FC Tehran, scheduled for October 12, 2026. Markets ask whether Al Gharafa SC will win, Esteghlal FC Tehran will win, or the match will end in a draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same core resolution logic, relying on official match statistics with defined fallback procedures and handling of postponement/cancellation scenarios.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (AFC).

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the result within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until the game is completed.
  • If the game is canceled entirely, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used; then Sofascore; then a consensus of credible reporting.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Delay: If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as official results are available, or within 24 hours of the event's conclusion if fallback sources are required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming AFC Champions League Elite game, scheduled for Monday, October 12, 2026 between Al Gharafa SC and Esteghlal FC Tehran.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming AFC Champions League Elite game, scheduled for Monday, October 12, 2026 between Al Gharafa SC and Esteghlal FC Tehran.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Al Gharafa vs. Esteghlal match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $36,772, with $35,955 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a consensus view of predictions made by a diverse group of forecasters. The dashboard displays the implied probabilities from each platform, allowing users to compare expectations and see how the market is evolving in real-time. It’s a central hub for understanding the collective wisdom regarding the result of this sporting event.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks aim to set lines that balance action on both sides and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets reflect the aggregate beliefs of informed traders. This market’s implied probabilities can provide a valuable alternative perspective, potentially identifying discrepancies where the crowd believes a different outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest. These differences can arise from varying levels of expertise and access to information among participants.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge for several reasons. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Al Gharafa vs. Esteghlal match. Trading volume and liquidity also play a role; a market with higher volume on one platform may exhibit more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and risk management on each platform can influence price formation. These factors combine to create potentially different implied probabilities for the same event across the two venues.