TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a specific soccer match between Al-Fayha and Al-Faisaly. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed various thresholds, providing insight into the expected offensive intensity of the game.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored during the official 90 minutes plus any stoppage time of the Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly Saudi Pro League match scheduled for October 31, 2026. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from the goal count. Multiple markets exist, each corresponding to a different threshold of total goals (over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5). A market resolves to 'Yes' if the actual goals scored exceed its respective threshold. All markets are independent, and each has its own resolution criteria. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a certain outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price on Kalshi will adjust accordingly. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available, offering a potentially more accurate view of the likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as the match date nears, providing a real-time assessment of the potential goal total.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final goal count from the Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly match will be used to determine whether the over or under contract wins. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics reported by a recognized sports data provider, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the match’s conclusion.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Al-Fayha or Al-Faisaly would likely cause movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the referee or stadium conditions could also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in market opinion about the likely total goals scored.