TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 12:58 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on the margin of victory in an upcoming Saudi Pro League soccer match between Al-Fayha and Al-Faisaly. Outcomes depend on whether either team secures a win by a specific goal differential, reflecting the competitive balance and potential scoring dynamics of the game.
The markets resolve based on the goal differential by which either Al-Fayha or Al-Faisaly wins the match scheduled for October 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A win by Al-Fayha exceeding 2.5 goals or one by Al-Faisaly exceeding 2.5 goals resolves the respective 'more than 2.5 goals' markets to Yes. Similarly, a win margin beyond 1.5 goals for either team resolves the corresponding 'more than 1.5 goals' markets positively. All outcomes are strictly determined by regular-time results, with no consideration for post-match proceedings. Kalsci explicitly disclaims any official association with the league or its governing bodies, and all intellectual property rights remain with the respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of a particular result. It’s common to see this market and sportsbook odds converge as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread in the Al-Fayha vs Al-Faisaly match will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the league or governing body, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in player form could impact predictions. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role, particularly if they favor one team's playing style over the other. Furthermore, public sentiment and any major bets placed on Kalshi could cause the market to react and adjust its pricing, reflecting the evolving expectations of traders.