TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 12:36 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether over 4.5 goals will be scored in the Al-Fayha versus Al Ahli Saudi professional Saudi Pro League soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 4.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the total goals scored in 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by official sources for the match. Keep an eye on the match itself, as this market will resolve to Yes if over 4.5 goals are scored during the game originally scheduled for October 19, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Al-Fayha vs Al Ahli Saudi professional Saudi Pro League soccer match scheduled for October 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the total goals exceed the specified threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals). The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, which represents their profit margin. This market, being driven by the collective predictions of traders, tends to be more efficient and can offer more favorable odds, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. However, initial sportsbook odds can sometimes differ significantly, reflecting differing initial assessments of the likely outcome. It’s useful to compare both to inform your trading strategy.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, various total goal counts for the Al-Fayha vs Al Ahli match. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time indication of expectations. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, shows the available buy and sell orders at different price points.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally of the Al-Fayha vs Al Ahli match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the total number of goals scored in regulation time, as officially recorded by the league or governing body. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered for settlement. The resolution process ensures an objective and transparent determination of the market’s outcome, based on established sporting results.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Al-Fayha or Al Ahli would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the availability of star players, or even changes in coaching staff, could lead to shifts in the price. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on the game’s outcome is crucial for informed trading.