TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 12:46 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Al-Fateh and Al Ahli Saudi will be judged based on the total number of goals scored by both teams within the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootout periods.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Al-Fateh vs Al Ahli Saudi professional Saudi Pro League soccer match scheduled for October 9, 2026. The resolution considers goals scored after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, but explicitly excludes goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market has a different threshold: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the total goals meet or exceed the specified threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same secondary disclaimer stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or seek to balance their book, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many traders. Over time, prediction market prices often become more accurate forecasts than traditional betting odds, especially as more information becomes available and trading volume increases. However, discrepancies can exist due to differing risk appetites and information access between prediction market participants and sportsbook customers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, the total number of goals scored. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief about the likelihood of each possibility. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently incorporates new information and changing expectations regarding the Al-Fateh vs Al Ahli match.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Al-Fateh vs Al Ahli match will be the determining factor. This includes any goals scored during regular play or added time, but excludes penalty shootouts. The final score will be sourced from official match data and verified against trusted sports news outlets to ensure accuracy and transparency for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Al-Fateh or Al Ahli would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also affect the expected goal total. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts predicting a high or low-scoring game could sway trader sentiment. Finally, significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could create arbitrage opportunities, prompting traders to adjust their positions in this market.