TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 6:15 PM EST
Polymarket
This event group concerns the outcome of the second half of a Saudi Professional League soccer match between Al Fateh and Al Khaleej. The markets ask which team will win the second half, or if it will end in a draw, based on goals scored during regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game between Al Fateh Saudi Club and Al Khaleej Saudi Club, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Al Fateh Saudi Club" if Al Fateh Saudi Club score more goals than Al Khaleej Saudi Club in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Al Fateh Saudi Club and Al Khaleej Saudi Club score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Al Khaleej Saudi Club" if Al Khaleej Saudi Club score more goals than Al Fateh Saudi Club in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game between Al Fateh Saudi Club and Al Khaleej Saudi Club, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Al Fateh Saudi Club" if Al Fateh Saudi Club score more goals than Al Khaleej Saudi Club in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Al Fateh Saudi Club and Al Khaleej Saudi Club score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Al Khaleej Saudi Club" if Al Khaleej Saudi Club score more goals than Al Fateh Saudi Club in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd and differing incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, incorporating a margin for themselves. In contrast, prediction markets allow traders to directly express their beliefs, leading to odds that can be more reflective of true probabilities. This market’s price is driven by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their assessment of the Al Fateh vs Al Khaleej second half, potentially revealing information not fully captured by sportsbooks. These markets can sometimes offer better value.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Al Fateh vs Al Khaleej second half can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and market creation on Polymarket and Predict might influence price formation. It’s also possible that differing risk appetites among traders on each platform contribute to the observed price discrepancies.