TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club
kalshi
predict
polymarket

What is the result of Al Fateh vs Al Ahli?

Volume:
$758,020

Al Ahli Saudi

all

3 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 9, 2026

Closed: Oct 9, 12:51 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Al Ahli Saudi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$361,719
N/A
N/A
$202,420
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Al Ahli Saudi Club

100%
33%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$52,175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

AHL

99%
31%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$5,345
$47,926
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Draw

1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$3,246
$2,802
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75,993
N/A
N/A
$59,880
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club)

0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,832
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

FAT

1%
14%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$148
$4,894
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Al-Fateh

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$131,937
N/A
N/A
$56,371
Settled
No
polymarket

Al Fateh Saudi Club

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76,743
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether Al Ahli Saudi Club will win their Saudi Professional League soccer match against Al Fateh Saudi Club on October 9, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Al Ahli winning is 99.6%, aggregated from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 9, 2026, to see if Al Ahli secures the win as overwhelmingly predicted.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms consistently define resolution based on the official result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with a defined fallback resolution process.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the match is postponed, the market remains open until completion.
  • If the match is canceled, win markets resolve to 'No' and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used, then Sofascore, and finally a consensus of credible reporting. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
Timing: Resolution will occur within 24 hours of the match's conclusion, or as soon as official statistics are available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between Al Fateh Saudi Club and Al Ahli Saudi Club.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the official result of the Al-Fateh vs Al Ahli Saudi professional Saudi Pro League soccer match scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome resolves for the specific market corresponding to the winning team—Al-Fateh, Al Ahli Saudi—or a tied result. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regulation time results, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between Al Fateh Saudi Club and Al Ahli Saudi Club.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from imbalances in betting, while prediction markets incentivize accurate forecasting through financial rewards. This market’s implied probabilities can sometimes diverge from sportsbook lines due to differing information sources, market participants, or risk assessments. The current volume of $758,020 suggests active trading and evolving sentiment around this event.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-making strategies. Polymarket might attract a different demographic of traders with unique insights compared to Kalshi. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform – currently $750,318 in 24-hour volume – can influence price discovery. Different fee structures and trading interfaces on each platform can also contribute to these discrepancies. These factors combine to create distinct market dynamics for the Saudi Club Football match.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in team formations, or unexpected coaching decisions could shift expectations. Major upsets in other related matches, or even weather conditions affecting gameplay, might also influence trading activity. Public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the teams' performance could also play a role. As the match date approaches, any late-breaking news or developments will likely cause increased volatility and price movement in this market.