TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 9, 12:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Al Ahli Saudi Club will win their Saudi Professional League soccer match against Al Fateh Saudi Club on October 9, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Al Ahli winning is 99.6%, aggregated from Kalshi, Predict, and Polymarket. Resolution will be based on official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Keep an eye on the match itself on October 9, 2026, to see if Al Ahli secures the win as overwhelmingly predicted.
This event is for the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between Al Fateh Saudi Club and Al Ahli Saudi Club.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Al-Fateh vs Al Ahli Saudi professional Saudi Pro League soccer match scheduled for October 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome resolves for the specific market corresponding to the winning team—Al-Fateh, Al Ahli Saudi—or a tied result. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regulation time results, with no account for extra time or penalty shootout outcomes. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This event is for the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for Friday, October 9, 2026 between Al Fateh Saudi Club and Al Ahli Saudi Club.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may differ due to variations in user base, trading activity, and market-making strategies. Polymarket might attract a different demographic of traders with unique insights compared to Kalshi. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform – currently $750,318 in 24-hour volume – can influence price discovery. Different fee structures and trading interfaces on each platform can also contribute to these discrepancies. These factors combine to create distinct market dynamics for the Saudi Club Football match.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in team formations, or unexpected coaching decisions could shift expectations. Major upsets in other related matches, or even weather conditions affecting gameplay, might also influence trading activity. Public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the teams' performance could also play a role. As the match date approaches, any late-breaking news or developments will likely cause increased volatility and price movement in this market.