TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 11:41 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets determine whether either team secures a victory by a margin exceeding specified goal differences within the regulation time of the match.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential if Al-Faisaly or Al-Kholood wins the match by more than the specified margin (1.5 or 2.5 goals) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded. A 'Yes' outcome for Al-Faisaly requires a win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, while a 'Yes' for Al-Kholood requires a win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The markets are unaffiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates insights from individuals with varying levels of knowledge and perspectives. If sportsbook odds suggest a clear favorite, it’s interesting to see if this market shows a similar sentiment, or if traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of certain outcomes. Discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different spread outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to incorporate new information and opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Price movements are influenced by factors like team news, injuries, and overall betting sentiment, leading to dynamic adjustments in the perceived probabilities of each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final spread of the Al-Faisaly vs Al-Kholood match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The final price of the contracts will reflect the confirmed result.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Al-Faisaly or Al-Kholood would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team issues could also move the market. Monitoring these factors and their potential impact on the match outcome is crucial for informed trading before Oct 15, 2026.