TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 10:21 AM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a football match between two teams in a league competition. The outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score a goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee. The focus is on the performance of the teams within the standard match duration.
If Al-Faisaly and Al-Kholood both score a goal in the Al-Faisaly vs Al-Kholood Saudi Pro League match originally scheduled for Oct 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to express their belief about the probability of both teams scoring, and the price adjusts based on supply and demand. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly, potentially offering a different value than traditional betting options.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing a 'yes' or 'no' outcome to the question of whether both Al-Faisaly and Al-Kholood will score during the match. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on the forces of supply and demand; as more people buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of both teams scoring. Conversely, increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the evolving beliefs of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Al-Faisaly and Al-Kholood score at least one goal during the scheduled match time, including any added time. The result will be determined by official match data, and any disputes will be evaluated against publicly available information. The final price on Kalshi at resolution will determine the payout for traders holding contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 15, 2026. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Al-Faisaly or Al-Kholood would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any pre-match analysis from reputable football experts predicting a high-scoring game or highlighting defensive weaknesses could shift trader sentiment and alter the price on Kalshi.