TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.3b

24H VOL:

$219,029,434

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,869,293,526

411,051

Markets across

40,408

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,377

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Al Ahli Saudi vs Al Gharafa
kalshi

What is the result of Al Ahli Saudi vs Al Gharafa?

Volume:
$846,849

Al Ahli Saudi

 - Kalshi

Al Ahli Saudi - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 2:04 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Al Ahli Saudi

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$388,886
N/A
N/A
$202,710
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Al Gharafa

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$273,107
N/A
N/A
$200,498
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$184,856
N/A
N/A
$91,770
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Al Ahli Saudi will win their professional AFC Champions League soccer game against Al Gharafa. Currently, Kalshi gives Al Ahli Saudi a 96.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 4.0%. The market will resolve based on the result of the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as determined by the official game outcome. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match itself on October 26, 2026, as that will begin the window for determining the market’s resolution.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Al Ahli Saudi versus Al Gharafa professional AFC Champions League soccer match scheduled for October 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if either Al Ahli Saudi or Al Gharafa wins the match within regular time. If the match ends in a tie after regular time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the match be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of different outcomes shifts over time, as well as the total volume traded in this market, currently at $846,849. The 24-hour volume is $760,851, indicating recent trading activity. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of various results in this contest.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the teams' strengths. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly as new information becomes available, potentially diverging from fixed sportsbook lines.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the price, while significant price swings suggest uncertainty or new information influencing traders' views.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Al Ahli vs Al Gharafa match, as reported by official sports authorities. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value. Traders should monitor official sources following the match to understand the basis for resolution.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also play a role. Additionally, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could drive trading activity and impact the market's price. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential movements in this market.