TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether the total points scored by both teams in a specific college football game will exceed various thresholds. It allows participants to speculate on the game's offensive output, with different markets covering different point totals.
All markets resolve based on whether the combined score of Akron and Miami (OH) in their college football game scheduled for October 17, 2026, exceeds the specified threshold for each market. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result is based on the final score of the game as played. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning the outcome is determined to reflect an equitable settlement rather than a definitive win or loss for any participant.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously buying and selling contracts on Kalshi and at a sportsbook. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total points for the Akron vs Miami (OH) game. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that specific total occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular total, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as game day approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Akron vs Miami (OH) game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored by both teams will be used to determine which contracts settle at 100, and which settle at 0. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts for the correct total points will receive a payout of 100 per contract, while those holding contracts for incorrect totals will receive 0.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Akron or Miami (OH) teams would likely cause movement, as this impacts the expected scoring potential. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also affect the total points scored. Late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might also lead to shifts in trader sentiment and, consequently, the price of contracts. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role.