TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 6:50 PM EST
Kalshi
A college football game between two teams is scheduled for October 16, 2026. The market outcome is determined by which team achieves a win, demonstrating the unpredictable nature of sports.
The market resolves based on the outcome of the Akron vs Miami (OH) college football game scheduled for October 16, 2026. If Miami (OH) wins, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Akron wins, its market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of informed traders. Typically, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional point spreads, especially when a significant amount of volume is traded. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and can provide a useful benchmark for comparison. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before the event gains wider attention, as this market is driven by those actively researching the game and its potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates the cost to own a contract that pays out if the specified outcome occurs, and it’s a direct measure of the market’s confidence.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Akron vs Miami (OH) game, as officially recorded by sources considered authoritative for college football scores. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on whether their predicted outcome aligned with the actual result. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure a fair and accurate settlement for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Akron or Miami (OH) teams would likely have a significant impact. Unexpected coaching changes, shifts in weather forecasts, or even significant news regarding team morale could also cause the market to react. Public perception, as reflected in media coverage and analysis, can also play a role, though this market tends to be more driven by informed traders than general public opinion. Any new information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will likely lead to price adjustments.