TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the potential margin of victory in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on how decisively either team might win. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to pay out.
All markets resolve based on the official final score of the Akron vs Central Michigan college football game scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. For markets specifying Central Michigan winning by a certain margin, if Central Michigan wins by more points than the stated threshold, those markets resolve to Yes; otherwise, they resolve to No. Conversely, markets specifying Akron winning by a certain margin resolve to Yes if Akron wins by more points than the threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point differential conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price here will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing these odds to those offered by sportsbooks can provide valuable insights into differing perspectives on the game’s outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction format. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the actual spread will be above or below the listed value. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the collective predictions of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price tends to converge towards what the market perceives as the most likely outcome. The closer we get to the event, the more volatile the price may become as new information and opinions are factored in.
This market resolves around Oct 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the actual point difference between Akron and Central Michigan at the conclusion of the game. The market will settle to 100 if the actual spread is greater than or equal to the contract price, and to 0 if it is less. The resolution process relies on publicly available game results to ensure an objective and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game takes place. News regarding key player injuries for either Akron or Central Michigan would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced by either team could also move the market. Finally, any major shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by media coverage or expert analysis, could influence trading activity and alter the price of the spread.