TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the likelihood of Akron exceeding 350.5 total scrimmage yards in their upcoming college football game against Central Michigan, and also whether they will exceed 175.5 total rushing yards. Currently, the aggregated probability across Polymarket and Kalshi indicates a 100.0% chance of both outcomes occurring. Resolution will be based on official statistics reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 3rd, as the final statistics from that date will determine the market’s outcome.
In the upcoming college football game between Akron and Central Michigan, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Akron" if Akron win the game. This market will resolve to "Central Michigan" if Central Michigan win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The event determines the winner of the college football game between Akron and Central Michigan scheduled for October 3, 2026. If Central Michigan wins the game, that specific market resolves to Yes; if Akron wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. If the game is cancelled or fails to start within the 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the NCAA, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds by directly bidding on the outcome, while Kalshi uses a different mechanism. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This difference in market structure can lead to price discrepancies. Furthermore, each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading volume also plays a role; a market with higher volume tends to have tighter spreads and more accurate pricing. The differing volume on each platform – Polymarket with its current focus and Kalshi with its unique participant pool – contributes to the observed price variations.