TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:53 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Finnish Ykkosliiga league between two teams. The result will be determined by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time. The event covers three possible outcomes based on which team wins or if the match ends in a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Akatemia vs KTP Kotka professional Finnish Ykkosliiga soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Three distinct markets correspond to the possible outcomes: Akatemia win, KTP Kotka win, or a tie. A 'Yes' outcome for any market occurs only if the specified condition is met within regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the event rules. The resolution strictly considers the result after normal playing time, with no consideration for post-match proceedings.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If a significant difference exists between the implied probability on this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate disagreement about the true likelihood of a particular outcome. This divergence can arise from differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of public attention on the event. It's a useful comparison point for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. Currently, the market indicates a higher probability for KTP Kotka winning, although this can change rapidly based on trading activity.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Akatemia versus KTP Kotka match in the Finnish Veikkausliiga. Any official postponement or cancellation of the match will be reflected in the market's resolution process, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates regarding the match schedule and results as we approach the resolution date.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff for either Akatemia or KTP Kotka would likely have an impact. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also shift the odds. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large-volume trades on Kalshi itself can cause price fluctuations, reflecting shifts in trader sentiment. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding the evolving probabilities as the match approaches.