TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 1:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Ajman and Sharjah in the UAE Pro League. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can bet on whether Ajman, Sharjah, or neither (a tie) will win the match as scheduled.
The markets resolve based on the official result of the Ajman vs Sharjah UAE Pro League soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for Ajman or Sharjah resolves if that team wins the match within regulation time. The 'Tie' market resolves if the game ends level after regulation. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the 'wisdom of the crowd,' potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance betting action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise from differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply the collective intelligence of participants trading on Kalshi. Comparing these odds can reveal where the market finds value relative to traditional betting options.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders bid to buy 'yes' contracts (believing the outcome will occur) and ask to sell 'no' contracts (believing it won't). On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract represents the implied probability of that outcome, fluctuating based on supply and demand. As more traders buy 'yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market reflects the aggregate sentiment of all participants, creating a probabilistic forecast for the Ajman vs Sharjah match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ajman vs Sharjah match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The platform will determine the winning contract based on the final score and any applicable rules governing the game. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout, while those holding the losing contract will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before Oct 18, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Ajman or Sharjah would likely have a significant impact. News regarding team form, tactical changes, or even weather conditions could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also introduce volatility. Furthermore, any major upsets in related matches or leagues might cause traders to reassess their probabilities, leading to price adjustments in this market.